Excerpts from Trade Winds Newsletter
Special reports, covering such topics as El Nino, La Nina, the Sunspot Cycle, various
oscillators, etc. are a unique feature of the service that can be found nowhere else and provide
subscribers with a clear advantage over the competition.
Sample Report:
El Nino Influence Waning
Our current El Nino event began during the late spring of 2009, arriving in time to
have an influence on the 2009 growing season and making for a pretty easy 2009 summer
forecast. If you have a summer when there is an El Nino present, you can almost "bank"
on the following three things being seen:
- A lack of abnormal summer heat in the Midwest
- A lack of long periods of drier]than]normal summer weather in the Midwest
- Very big U.S. corn and soybean yields
We saw all three things occur in 2009. The summer of 2009 ranked among the 15 coolest ever
(in a data
set spanning the past 115 years) in all major corn producing states except Kansas and Ohio,
topped off
by a July that ranked as THE coolest in the past 115 years for Iowa eastward to Pennsylvania.
Any below
normal rainfall for the summer of 2009 was in far northeastern parts of the Corn Belt, with
totals
ranking among the top 25 or 30 ever (in that same 115 year record set) for the southwestern
half of the
region. Latest figures from the USDA project that national corn and soybean yields set new
records in
2009, meaning that national corn yield records have been set in over 75 percent of all El
Nino years since
1950, and national soybean yield records have been set in over 50 percent of those same
years.
The forecast for the summer of 2010 would be equally as easy if the current El Nino were
to stick
around. However, it is becoming apparent that will NOT be the case...
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